Home ›› 29 Apr 2023 ›› Front
Sri Lanka’s economy is expected to return to growth next year following the country’s worst economic crisis in more than 70 years that sent prices of everything in the country from food to fuel to a historic high.
The economy will shrink by 2% this year, but expand by 3.3% in 2024, the Central Bank of Sri Lanka fore-casted in an annual report published on Thursday, reports BBC and Reuters.
The prediction is more optimistic than the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which forecast a contraction in 2023 of around 3% and growth of 1.5% next year.
In the annual report, the central bank outlined how last year wages failed to keep up with the soaring cost of living,
“Several inherent weaknesses” and “policy lapses” helped to trigger the severe economic problems that engulfed the South Asian nation, the bank said.
The central bank’s report also outlined how headline inflation reached almost 70% in September as prices of fresh fruit, wheat and eggs more than doubled.
At the same time the cost of transportation and essential utilities such as electricity and water rose even faster.
Last year, the economy shrank by 7.8% and the country defaulted on its foreign debt for the first time since independence from the UK in 1948.
Defaults happen when governments are unable to meet some or all of their debt payments to creditors.
This damaged its reputation with lenders, making it even harder to borrow money on the international markets.
“The Sri Lankan economy faced its most onerous year in its post-independence history,” the report said.
An “unsustainable” economic model “steered the country towards a multifaceted disaster,” it added.
Sri Lanka owes about $7bn (£5.7bn) to China and around $1bn to India. In February, both countries agreed to restructure their loans, giving Sri Lanka more time to repay them.
Last month, the IMF agreed to lend Sri Lanka $3bn. That was on top of a $600m loan from the World Bank last year.
Sri Lanka’s government is currently negotiating its debt repayments with bondholders and creditors before the IMF reviews the situation in September.
