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Asian markets extend Wall St rally after US data, ahead of Fed

AFP . Hong Kong
29 Jul 2024 10:32:09 | Update: 29 Jul 2024 11:58:23
Asian markets extend Wall St rally after US data, ahead of Fed
Pedestrians stand in front of an electronic quotation board displaying the numbers of global stock markets, including share prices of the Tokyo Stock Exchange in Tokyo — AFP File Photo

Asian markets rallied Monday, tracking a surge on Wall Street after data showing US inflation slowed further in June stoked hopes the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates.

The upbeat mood comes at the start of a busy week for traders, with the central banks of the United States and Japan making policy decisions, a key US jobs report due on Friday and megacaps releasing their earnings.

The gains helped claw back some of the hefty losses suffered last week after disappointing results from tech titans Tesla and Alphabet caused panic-selling among investors who had piled into the sector this year.

All three main indexes in New York jumped more than one per cent Friday after the Fed's preferred gauge of inflation -- the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index -- slowed to 2.5 per cent last month.

The reading, which was just above officials' two per cent target, was the latest to boost bets on a rate cut in September, and pushed up expectations for two more before January.

Fed chief Jerome Powell sparked a rally in markets earlier in the month when he said decision-makers did not need to see the reading hit two per cent before moving.

The bank is due to make an announcement Wednesday, ahead of the release of the closely watched non-farm payrolls report Friday.

However, analyst Stephen Innes said there were still risks ahead.

"It's a week to buckle up. A significant downside miss on the NFP could spell 'bad news is bad news' for stocks," he said in his Dark Side Of The Boom newsletter.

"While an upside beat might reduce the chances of one of those Fed rate cuts baked into the 2024 cake. This could strengthen the US dollar and spoil everyone's rate-cut party."

Asian investors were in a buoyant mood at the beginning of the week.

Tokyo piled on two percent after eight days of losses, while Hong Kong, Sydney, Seoul, Singapore, Taipei and Manila were also up.

The Bank of Japan is also lined up to make an announcement Wednesday amid speculation it will hike rates again, having done so in March for the first time in 17 years as it shifts away from its ultra-loose policy.

Expectations for a rise, either this week or at the BoJ's next meeting, along with bets on a Fed cut have helped push the yen higher against the dollar after it hit a four-decade low near 162 per dollar at the start of the month.

Still, analysts at Moody's Analytics said: "We expect the Bank of Japan to leave interest rates on hold.

"The spotlight will be on the reduction in government bond purchases announced in June. With inflation cooling and economic data underperforming, a rate hike now would be premature.

"We're betting on a rate hike in September; by then, economic indicators should be showing an improvement."

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