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Eurozone economy rebounds in 2021 after recession

AFP . Brussels
31 Jan 2022 17:36:11 | Update: 31 Jan 2022 17:36:11
Eurozone economy rebounds in 2021 after recession
Euro coins are seen in front of displayed flag and map of the European Union in this picture illustration taken in Zenica, May 28 2015 — Reuters Photo

The eurozone economy posted robust growth last year, official data showed Monday, but the fallout from the Omicron variant and an energy crunch has raised doubts about the bloc's ability to sustain the pace.

While historic, the 5.2 per cent expansion fails to gain back all the ground lost to the crash suffered in 2020, when the first shock of the coronavirus pandemic saw the eurozone contract by a cataclysmic 6.4 per cent.

The strength of the eurozone's recovery trailed the boom in the United States, which grew by 5.6 per cent in 2021. China's lept by 8.1 per cent, according to government data.

Eurostat said the full 27-country EU economy, which includes several large economies that do not use the euro such as Poland and Sweden, grew by 5.9 per cent.

Analysts said the rebound in Europe showed strong divergences especially late in the year, with export powerhouse Germany seeing negative growth in the final quarter, and France, Spain and Italy expanding healthily.

The German government on Wednesday lowered its economic growth forecast for 2022 because of problems posed by Omicron and its effect on the global supply chain, a crucial concern for Europe's biggest economy.

The crisis in Ukraine has also darkened the mood, as fears grow that Russia, a major source of fossil fuels, could curb the gas supply to Europe when heating needs are at a peak.

This would add to challenges posed by the highly contagious Omicron coronavirus variant that has brought a new wave of health restrictions and disrupted supply chains.

"We expect a soft start to 2022 as high cases and the return of restrictions, especially on contact-intensive services, weigh on

growth in the first quarter", said Rory Fennessy of Oxford Economics.

But a strong rebound is expected over the second and third quarters "as supply bottlenecks unwind and consumer demand recovers," he added.

Analysts are also keeping a close eye on inflation which is reaching historic levels in the eurozone, and could bring a hit to consumer demand if it is not tamed in the coming months.

The IMF last week cut its world GDP forecast for 2022 to 4.4 per cent because of the surprise challenges posed by the Omicron variant.

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