Home ›› 03 Aug 2022 ›› World Biz
The Russian economy has been deeply damaged by sanctions and the exit of international business since the country invaded Ukraine, according to a new report by Yale University business experts and economists.
Even though Moscow has been able to pull in billions of dollars from continued energy sales at elevated prices, largely unpublished data shows that much of its domestic economic activity has stalled since the February 24 invasion, according to the report released in late July.
"The findings of our comprehensive economic analysis of Russia are powerful and indisputable: Not only have sanctions and the business retreat worked, they have thoroughly crippled the Russian economy at every level," said the report from the Yale School of Management.
"Russian domestic production has come to a complete standstill with no capacity to replace lost businesses, products and talent," the 118-page report said.
The report was produced by Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, president of the Yale Chief Executive Leadership Institute, and other members of the institute, a mix of economists and business management experts.
With Moscow having halted or pared the release of official economic statistics, including crucial trade figures, Sonnenfeld's group tapped into data held by companies, banks, consultants, Russian trading partners and others to build a picture of Russian economic performance.
They also said they obtained unreleased data from experts on the Russian economy, and data in other languages which supported their conclusions.
Even if Russia is able to earn more foreign exchange on gas and oil exports, that has not offset the impact of Western sanctions.
And, they argue, the country's dependence on Europe to buy 83 percent of its energy exports leaves it under a greater medium-term threat.
"Russia is far more dependent on Europe than Europe is on Russia," they said.
Russia largely survived Western economic sanctions after Moscow's 2014 seizure of the Ukraine region of Crimea.
President Vladimir Putin pushed a program of replacing some imports with domestic products and built up a cushion of financial reserves.